![]() ![]() Its distant origin would lie in two areas of this political party. Vox is not the outcome of the evolution of the Spanish far right, but of the ideological mutation of a split in the PP. That is why, despite their upward trend, regression cannot be ruled out (the September 2020 CIS barometer gave it 11.7%).Ī PP split capable of redefining the right’s framework In short, the big drop in Vox voting on 26 May (26-M) reveals that their electoral base is not as solid as it seems. According to the CIS, its support dropped to 3.4% in July 2019, but Vox made a come back and increased its vote on 10 November (10-N) as it turned the opposition to Franco’s exhumation to its advantage and led the rejection of the protest for secession against the Supreme Court ruling on the pro-Catalan independence leaders. However, its growth was erratic, as in just one month (28 April to 26 May, 28-A to 26-M) it lost 48.1% of the vote. And on 10 November 2019 (10-N) it became the third Spanish political party (15.1%). It entered the Congress on 28 April (28-A) 2019 (10.3%), and in the triple election of 26 May (26-M), it gained representation in Europe (6.2%), the autonomous communities (in nine regional parliaments) and local governments (it participated in 646 municipalities and obtained 530 councillors). On 2 December (2-D) 2018 it stopped being a marginal party when it won 10.9% of the Andalusian vote. ![]() Vox witnessed a spectacular rise in one year. Great support at the ballot box that may be volatile With a view to gaining an insight into the party, we believe it is more effective to offer five pointers to facilitate its interpretation, presented below. ![]() But its nature is difficult to define, because Vox is still deploying its ideology and few studies on the party have been carried out. Since Vox emerged institutionally in Andalusia’s elections of 2 December 2018 (2-D), journalists, analysts and academics have called this far-right party neo-Francoist, Fascist, neo-Fascist or “nativist”. For now, it has only introduced proposals and issues to polarise public opinion and thereby gain high visibility. This party, based on a vertical structure, limited ideological theorisation and high social network penetration, is a party “under construction” capable of making unpredictable turns. Vox’s electoral ups and downs indicate that its base is not as solid as it seems. ![]()
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